The Momentum has Shifted – Not!

You’ll notice that I don’t make predictions about who is going to win elections around here. That’s not because I’m really modest and don’t want to let you know how right I am; it’s because I generally don’t have a clue. I do remembering saying to my wife during the 2000 election that I didn’t think they had Florida projected correctly after I looked at a precinct map, but that was because of the obvious (and constant) problem that people project Florida before the panhandle votes get counted, and the panhandle votes heavily Republican.

So after Iowa and New Hampshire, who is listening to the pundits any more? Those guys don’t know any more than I do, and I can testify to you that on the matter of who’s going to win, that means they know, um, some tiny amount indistinguishable from nothing.

No, this is not a post with high intellectual content. It’s just that their words annoyed me leading up to both events, I think they have been proven sufficiently wrong, and I think their faces should be rubbed in it, just so they won’t proclaim what they don’t know with such confidence.

It reminds me of the lousy sports reporters who sense a shift in momentum every team a different team scores. In football I’ve heard reporters speak about shifts of momentum after a team made a first down. “No,” I want to yell at them, “they just made a first down.”

On February 5, we have New York and New Jersey, amongst many others. I can’t imagine Hillary Clinton is going to give up before that, and I suspect Rudy isn’t going to either. I might like them to, but wishes aren’t predictions.