Threads from Henry's Web

Author: henry

  • Signs and Wondering

    Over the last few weeks I have heard many stories of people who see certain events in their lives as signs of one thing or another. In fact, I could probably say the same thing about just about any period of time during my life. People are constantly seeing signs.

    Of course there is always a problem interpreting the sign. In fact, in the majority of cases, the person who reports something they thought was a sign also say that they are wondering just what the sign means. These signs can be quite simple things, such as meetings that failed, an actual sign seen on the highway when one is thinking of a particular topic, receiving a payment (or not), and so forth.

    I’m reminded of the great scene in the final volume of the Chronicles of Narnia (The Last Battle) in which the ape is trying to convince the donkey to wear a lion skin, which the donkey thinks is a very bad idea. Suddenly there is a thunderclap, which the donkey takes as a sign that he should not wear the skin. The ape, however, is quicker and says that he was about to say that if the donkey should wear the lion skin, Aslan should send a thunderclap.

    Which presents the problem of interpreting signs–they are so tremendously flexible. The most common temptation is to use a sign to justify a decision that we already intended to make. A close second is the use of a sign to convince someone else that God is on our side in an argument.

    Now I don’t have any problem with us using stories to shape the expression of our decisions. I think many people, myself included, need to create some sort of narrative to go with a decision. I also know that it’s a fact that often some event that I regard intellectually as unrelated, nonetheless pushes my mind onto a different track. At the same time I do know that the event is not a good reason for taking a particular course of action.

    Signs can be a great deal of fun if you treat them largely as a stimulus to creative thinking, but they can be very dangerous things if you take them too seriously. As a general rule, the signs are more difficult to interpret than the original data.

  • This is Disgusting

    Here’s another incident of mandatory religion in the Air Force (HT: Metacatholic).

    Besides the fact that it is quite improper for the Air Force to provide mandatory religious indoctrination, this program clearly denigrates the faith of many who would disagree with a number of elements of the presentation.

  • Biblical Studies Carnival XXXVI

    I violate my vow against reading or linking to Jim West to link to the latest Biblical Studies Carnival XXXVI, which is quite good in spite of because of its snarkiness.

    There’s a lot of good stuff there, much of which is about SBL.

  • With No One As Witness

    I first encountered Elizabeth George’s work through the videos of the Lynley series.  My experience is that the movie version is never up to the quality of the book, so in this case I was quite hopeful as I turned to the books for the first time.

    I was not disappointed.  Elizabeth George presents character in a wonderful way, and presents excellent detail on a variety of persons who may be of interest to the reader.  As always, I’m interested in the evidence presented, and whether it truly points to the person who turns out to be guilty.  The ideal mystery, in my view, keeps me from being certain of the guilty party until the very end, but when the actual perpetrator is presented, makes me feel a bit foolish for not having realized it. Thus failure can come either in the form of an easily guessed solution or a solution that doesn’t make sense even after it’s presented.

    In With No One As Witness, neither of these is a problem.  There are multiple plausible suspects introduced through the earlier portion of the story, but the list is whittled down as the story progresses.  The characters present detailed enough personalities that the reader can actually ask whether that person’s personality fits the profile for the crime.

    I will definitely be reading more of these books, probably starting with the next one in the series, and then moving back toward the earlier volumes.  I prefer the written word to video in any case.  It’s nice to relax and watch a video, but I have never encountered a screen adaptation that really matches the experience of reading a good mystery.

  • CEV Review Video

    The following is a video review of the CEV:

    For more details, see the MyBibleVersion.com detail page for the CEV.

  • Um, No Thanks, Not like You

    Al Qaeda’s #2 has called on Americans to embrace Islam, presumably his version. Um, no thanks. Even melting down, we’re better off.

    Oh, and by the way, Muslim calls to embrace Islam bring memories of Muslim conquest, not to mention recent terror attacks, just as Christian calls to convert the whole Muslim world bring back the crusades.

  • Thinking about Business Regulation

    The current financial crisis has been cast as a failure of the left by the right, and failure of the right by the left. Did laissez faire capitalism fail or was it excessive taxation or regulation? Perhaps it was a combination.

    I use “left” and “right” here strictly in the context of capitalism, with “right” being those who espouse a maximally laissez-faire position, and left being those who favor government intervention. My own position is moderate in that I am willing to look at all points on that spectrum, but I lean strongly to the right in terms of solutions. I favor the economic solution that most depends on the general will of the participants in the economic system expressed in the way the spend their money, not in the way they vote at the ballot box.

    I should note here for honesty’s sake, as well as to irritate those who can be irritated, that I see neither capitalism nor democracy as absolutes in and of themselves. They are both strategies used to accomplish something in particular. This means that I oppose socialism (in the sense of government ownership of the means of production, not in terms of progressive models of taxation), not because I think the idea of government ownership is morally bad in the first place, but rather because I believe socialism works poorly in appropriately distributing economic goods.

    Similarly, I see democracy as one tool in helping to prevent tyranny, but I don’t think it is all that effective by itself. I would have no problem with various means of limiting or redistributing voting rights, provided those are evenly and objectively implied. The U. S. electoral college and the senate are both violations of pure one-person-one-vote policy, and I support both. I also don’t have any objection to literacy tests or to property requirements for voting, except that they have rarely been applied with an even hand, and I think human nature suggests they are unlikely to be.

    Having thus thrown out a couple of inflammatory ideas not really related to my topic, let me proceed! My assumptions here, which I am not going to support in detail is that fraud prevention and infrastructure building are legitimate functions of government. Further I’m not an ideologue who holds a priori that government can’t do a certain thing. If an activity of government truly benefits its citizens, including not producing unacceptable side-effects, I wll accept it. In practice I generally believe that limiting government action to carefully circumscribed zones is better.

    I think there is an important distinction that needs to be made as we think about government regulation or supervision of market activities. Process is important, and the principles that underly our action are also critical. The temptation, to which legislators almost always yield, is to write a law that prescribes results. In presenting such a law to the public, it is the results that are emphasized. You don’t generally see bills titles something like – “A Bill to Hire 10,000 New Regulators and Cause them to Swarm over the Banking System.” No, the title will be more like – “A Bill to Ensure Honesty in Banking” or something similar. (Examples are intentionally very generic.)

    In the financial markets, we tend to get regulators looking to see to particular results, such as particular rations of assets to liabilities, certain levels of stability, guarantees of funds for depositors, and so forth. Not all of these goals are bad.

    An alternative is to look at regulation from the point of view of the honesty and transparency of the process itself. In other words, rather than making sure that a bank cannot cross a particular line, aim at making certain that the public will know when the line is crossed, and focus enforcement on going after those who misrepresent.

    Extreme capitalists may object to the additional regulation, but see no similar problem in, for example, requiring that someone who manufactures toasters is actually delivering toasters. If such a company instead delivers clever plastic models of toasters that do not do any toasting, that is fraud.

    Similarly I should be able to walk up to a building with the word “bank” on the sign, and assume that I am dealing with something recognizable as a bank, rather than say a junk security marketing service or something similar. It’s simple to tell whether the toaster company is delivering toasters. It’s much more difficult to determine whether the bank is what I would traditionally regard as a bank.

    When deregulation came along, this is an issue that I think was not adequately addressed. Banks were restricted from doing certain activities that were generally viewed as risky. Deregulation permitted such activities. So in effect we changed the definition of “bank” as applied to a business name from one thing to another. This deregulation was viewed as more capitalism. I would suggest that in some cases it was simply an abdication of the very proper role of capitalist government in preventing fraud.

    I think there are many regulations that might be explained in either way–as a prescription of results, or as preventing misrepresentation. But I would be much happier if, as we consider how to keep markets more stable, we tried to emphasize providing investors with accurate information (including such infinitesimally small investors as myself) over simply preventing them from taken risks that they intelligently choose.

    As a final note just to annoy a few more people if possible, I question the function of the stock market as it is constituted. I have no idea how one would change it, but right now it seems to me to be falsely labeled. It should be called the Stock Casino. I have no objection to legalized gambling, but I’d like gambling to be called gambling, and investing to be called investing. Unfortunately, there is a certain amount of gambling in investing, and there can even be investing in gambling. But could we try to draw a line?

    OK, in the near future I will return to subjects on which I have greater expertise. I promise!

  • Problems with WP-Supercache

    I discovered on one of my occasional rounds of checking sites with other browsers (I normally use the most current version of Firefox under Ubuntu Linux) that IE7 was not showing the current front page. That resulted in a check of WP-Supercache, which was no longer serving cached pages. Firefox had gone back to serving the current PHP. IE7 was getting the expired cache page.

    I’m not sure if there was an initial install/configuration error or if I accidentally changed something. In any case, it appears to be working now. I’ll be checking this regularly, but if you see anything that seems strange (other than my ideas!) please e-mail me, and I’ll check it out.

  • A Double Holiday

    Tomorrow is Thanksgiving Day, but it is also just a day before my anniversary. Nine years ago, my wife Jody and I joined our lives together. That year it was a Sunday. We chose to have a Sunday wedding, after the church service, and slipped off to our honeymoon. Each Thanksgiving is thus a double holiday at our home.

    I was a 40-something bachelor, and acquired a complete family on the spot. That has now expanded to include five grandchildren, all of whom are wonderful. I occasionally remind my children that I am really a stepfather, and thus totally unbiased. They can take my word for it when I claim that my grandchildren are the greatest ever!

    This will also be the fourth year that we celebrate Thanksgiving and then the Christmas season without our son James. Though absent, he still remains a presence in all that we do. James always had very definite ideas on what should be done at the holidays and didn’t want any corners to be cut.

    Paul tells us to “rejoice in the Lord always” (Philippians 4:4). There are times when it is much harder to rejoice than at other times. Paul similarly tells us a couple of verses later (4:6) not to worry about anything, yet elsewhere (2 Corinthians 2:13) he confesses to worry himself. I wonder if he also managed not to be joyful all the time?

    I say this not to challenge the advice he gives, because I have found that being grouchy or worrying do nothing to solve any problems I may be having. They just sap my strength so that I actually can do less than I could otherwise.

    At the same time, I still worry, and there are times when I don’t rejoice.

    Tomorrow is a day to take the most positive possible attitude. Whether you are religious or not, you can be thankful. Thankfulness isn’t just for the person who is thanked. It helps the person who is doing the thanking. It gives you a moment of positive time, a moment that will be healing for you, if you let it.

    I’m thankful for many things right now. I also have enough stuff that I could go nuts about. But I’m not going to do it. I’m going to enjoy time with my wife, and do some rebuilding of my spirit tomorrow, rejoicing and not worrying, at least as well as I can.